Commentary: Anti-Trump Republican group pushes for evangelical conversion
AP

Commentary: Anti-Trump Republican group pushes for evangelical conversion

{{featured_button_text}}
President Donald Trump speaks during an event to announce his administrations' proposed new environmental policies on Thursday, Jan. 9, 2020, at the White House in Washington, D.C.

President Donald Trump speaks during an event to announce his administrations' proposed new environmental policies on Thursday, Jan. 9, 2020, at the White House in Washington, D.C. (Alex Edelman/Sipa USA/TNS)

When the anti-Trump Republicans of the Lincoln Project crafted their first digital ad, they didn't go after college-educated East Coast urbanites or suburban soccer moms. Instead, they targeted some of the most passionate and some say, inexplicable of the president's supporters: Evangelical Christians.

Since Trump first burst on the political scene, he's enjoyed strong support from white evangelicals, winning 81% of their vote in 2016, according to exit polling. Their devotion to a thrice-married Manhattan adulterer who's bragged about his mistreatment of women strikes some political observers as a mystery. But these #NeverTrumpers see an opportunity.

The Lincoln Project, whose members include political pros like Steve Schmidt, John Weaver and Rick Wilson, makes no secret of its objective: Defeating Donald Trump. And they're more than willing to elect a Democrat to do it. They believe if they can peel away just a few percentage points of his evangelical base in 2020, they could deny Trump another four years in the White House.

"Donald Trump is a clear and present danger to our country. If it means electing a Democrat to end that danger, so be it," former New Hampshire state GOP chairman Jennifer Horn told InsideSources.

Like her fellow Lincoln Project members, Horn is an experienced political operative who's worked on multiple campaigns and even run for Congress herself. The decision to make their first major pitch to evangelicals, as opposed to rank-and-file GOP regulars, reflects their politically strategic approach.

The digital ad, titled "The MAGA Church," highlights unflattering moments from leading evangelicals like Robert Jeffress and Jim Bakker, interspersed with some of Trump's most profane public utterances. It concludes with the message, "If this is the best American Christians can do, then God help us all."

The ad offers an extremely unflattering portrayal of evangelical leaders and their fawning support of Trump, so much so that one commenter responded to the ad by saying, "Honestly, those evangelicals bother me more than Trump does."

Is attacking Christian support for Trump really going to change their minds?

"We're not going after people of faith," the Lincoln Project's Ron Steslow said. "This ad isn't about faithful Christians. It's about the charlatans who are exploiting the trust of their flocks for political power, money and fame. The Jesus I grew up with would be horrified at what these leaders are saying and doing in his name."

Steslow concedes that white evangelicals are still among Trump's biggest backers, but he says that support is softening. In a new Marist/NPR poll released this week, Trump's support among evangelicals is at 68% - higher than his 41% approval rating among voters overall but well below his 89% GOP approval rating. It's also noticeably lower than the 75% support Trump enjoyed from evangelicals last April. Perhaps most significant, Trump's disapproval among these voters has risen to 26%.

"Evangelicals are not a monolith," Steslow says. "Many of them don't like the purely transactional relationship their leaders have with Trump. Many Christians believe that character should still count - and those poll numbers show they're recognizing the fruit of their bargain with Trump's GOP is rotten."

That was the message of a controversial editorial by the prominent evangelical magazine Christianity Today calling for Trump to be removed from office.

"To the many evangelicals who continue to support Mr. Trump in spite of his blackened moral record, we might say this: Remember who you are and whom you serve. Consider how your justification of Mr. Trump influences your witness to your Lord and Savior," Mark Galli, the magazine's editor in chief wrote. "If we don't reverse course now, will anyone take anything we say about justice and righteousness with any seriousness for decades to come?"

Politics, however, isn't about righteousness. It's about ballots. Can the Lincoln Project persuade enough right-leaning evangelicals to abandon Trump to affect the 2020 elections? Many political pros are dubious.

"As an activist or donor, aligning yourself with a Never Trumper super PAC is a recipe for oblivion," GOP donor and Trump supporter Dan Eberhart told the Washington Post. "All the action is inside the tent in the Republican Party right now, and you see that in the House and the Senate not breaking on impeachment, you see that in Trump having an extremely high rating within the party, and you see that within the current level of donors. The donors are with Trump; the base is with Trump."

The latest PRRI poll of evangelical Christians released in early January appears to back up that analysis.

- Among white evangelical Protestants who approve of his job performance, 40% say there is almost nothing Trump could do to lose their support.

- 82% of white evangelical Protestants oppose President Trump being impeached and removed from office.

- Nearly all (98%) white evangelical Protestants who identify as Republicans oppose impeachment and removal.

The challenge for Trump, and the potential opportunity for the Lincoln Project, lies in the fact that Trump's overall approval remains closer to 40% than 50%, and he's underwater with independent voters. As a result, many political pros believe Trump's going to need even more support, not less, from his white, evangelical base to win in 2020.

Could efforts like the Lincoln Project's keep those numbers down?

"Even President Trump's buddy Steve Bannon knows how precarious the president's position is," Horn said. "He said if the Lincoln Project peels away 3% or 4% of Trump's support, the president is in trouble. Then look at new polls showing 20% of Republicans overall believe Trump should be removed from office. Bannon is right - the president is in trouble."

___

ABOUT THE WRITER

Michael Graham is politics editor for InsideSources.com.

0
0
0
0
0

Catch the latest in Opinion

* I understand and agree that registration on or use of this site constitutes agreement to its user agreement and privacy policy.

Related to this story

Most Popular

  • Updated

The administration and staff of Lompoc Valley Medical Center, Lompoc Health and the Comprehensive Care Center are thankful for the outpouring of support in recent days for our healthcare workers. Our highest priority is the health and safety of our community members, our medical staff and our employees.

  • Updated

We're in this together. (Just don't stand so close.) We're unified in our goal. (But look, 6 feet away, OK?) If you haven't been outside lately, let me paint a picture: People are outside but not many people are outside, and wherever people are going right now - to grocery stores, jogging trails, gas stations - an elaborate dance is happening, a social distancing pas de deux, being learned on ...

  • Updated

GUEST COMMENTARY Recently I saw a river of special blue Lupin splattered with yellow and white field flowers cascading down as far as I could see. Powerful oaks silhouetted against the slate-gray sky stood in command of the ridgeline. Carpets of rain slaked grasses emerald green everywhere. There was only the sound of my thoughts to distract me.

  • Updated

Sometime within the next few weeks, the federal government will have to make arguably the most far-reaching policy decision since World War II. The strategy of social isolation to mitigate transmission of the novel coronavirus has been in place for less than a month, and President Donald Trump is now suggesting most restrictions should be lifted by Easter, April 12, although no official ...

DAN WALTERS As the coronavirus pandemic was clobbering California — and the rest of the known world — this month, local government officials in Sacramento County enthusiastically decided to ask voters to approve a hefty sales tax increase for transportation improvements.

ANDY CALDWELL I walked into Costco to see for myself. Had there really been a run on water and toilet paper as a result of hysteria having to do with the coronavirus? The answer is yes! This, in spite of the fact that there has been no indication that our water supplies could either be contaminated or shut off in the event of a pandemic, and this particular flu affects the lungs and not the digestive tract. The other run on the market that at least made some sense was the hoarding of hand sanitizer.

Get up-to-the-minute news sent straight to your device.

Topics

News Alert

Breaking News